DECISION METHODS & TASK MAPS / METHODS
Separate how a decision moves from the dimensions used to analyse it
The five-stage lifecycle describes process; the five-dimensional framework describes analytical lenses; task maps apply both to M&A, disposal, funding and integration. They connect, but are not interchangeable.
PUB-FRAMEWORKS-0001V1.2HOWARD OPENOS2026.08.08
DECISION LIFECYCLE / FIVE STAGES
Frame—Expand—Compete—Choose—Calibrate
01Frame
Reframe the real problem, objective, constraints and accountability boundary.
02Expand
Expand facts, evidence, assumptions, variables, specialist views and uncertainty.
03Compete
Make competing explanations, options and dissenting views confront the same facts.
04Choose
Form a decision and action with explicit trade-offs, authority and accountability.
05Calibrate
Use action results and long-run outcomes to revise judgments, methods and stop conditions.
FIVE DIMENSIONS + OUTCOME / ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK
Five analytical dimensions, continuously recalibrated by outcomes
01Strategy
02Investment
03Financial reality
04Funding
05Risk & governance
Outcome is not a sixth analytical step; it is the reality axis that continuously recalibrates all five dimensions.
TASK MAPS / APPLIED MAPS
Task maps apply process and dimensions to real work; they are not a third abstract method
01Running M&A for the first time
Begin with the strategic problem and move through diligence, valuation, structure, decision, closing and integration.
STAGE 01
Define
- QUESTION
- Why must M&A solve this problem?
- OUTPUT
- Objectives, constraints, alternatives and stop conditions
- PARTICIPANTS
- Business, strategy, finance, decision owner
- COMMON BREAK
- The target opportunity defines the strategy
STAGE 02
Judge
- QUESTION
- Do value, risk and capability fit?
- OUTPUT
- Diligence view, value range and risk map
- PARTICIPANTS
- Business, finance, legal, tax, valuation
- COMMON BREAK
- Specialist views remain unintegrated
STAGE 03
Design
- QUESTION
- How should risk and incentives enter the structure?
- OUTPUT
- Price, payment, funding, conditions and governance
- PARTICIPANTS
- Deal team, funders, board
- COMMON BREAK
- Price is negotiated without execution conditions
STAGE 04
Close & integrate
- QUESTION
- Who turns commitments into outcomes, and when?
- OUTPUT
- Closing list, owners, information and integration plan
- PARTICIPANTS
- Operations, finance, HR, governance
- COMMON BREAK
- Accountability and data break after signing
02Running an asset disposal
Start with purpose and value boundaries, then handle valuation, route, procedure, cash and outcomes.
STAGE 01
Purpose
- QUESTION
- Is the disposal solving cash, risk, strategy or governance?
- OUTPUT
- Priority, floor and timing constraints
- PARTICIPANTS
- Business, finance, strategy, decision owner
- COMMON BREAK
- Speed becomes the only objective
STAGE 02
Value
- QUESTION
- How do assets, debt, cash flow and buyers shape price?
- OUTPUT
- Value bridge, scenarios and buyer map
- PARTICIPANTS
- Business, finance, valuation, market team
- COMMON BREAK
- Book value or one valuation dominates
STAGE 03
Route
- QUESTION
- Which equity, asset, debt or combined route is executable?
- OUTPUT
- Route comparison, procedure and conditions
- PARTICIPANTS
- Legal, tax, audit, regulatory interface
- COMMON BREAK
- Structure and approvals diverge
STAGE 04
Exit
- QUESTION
- Are closing, cash, release and residual risk complete?
- OUTPUT
- Closing and collection plan, responsibilities, outcome
- PARTICIPANTS
- Finance, legal, operations, handover team
- COMMON BREAK
- Signing occurs without real transfer of value and risk
03Funding & capital structure
Define the funding problem before comparing tenor, cost, flexibility, control and downside scenarios.
STAGE 01
Need
- QUESTION
- Is the gap cash, tenor, credit or risk capacity?
- OUTPUT
- Use of funds, tenor, constraints and priority
- PARTICIPANTS
- Business, finance, treasury, decision owner
- COMMON BREAK
- Receiving funds is mistaken for solving the problem
STAGE 02
Capacity
- QUESTION
- What structure can fundamentals and cash support?
- OUTPUT
- Debt capacity, stress scenarios and boundary
- PARTICIPANTS
- Finance, operations, risk, rating interface
- COMMON BREAK
- Only current interest cost is considered
STAGE 03
Instrument
- QUESTION
- How should debt, equity, converts or a mix be compared?
- OUTPUT
- Instrument comparison and switching conditions
- PARTICIPANTS
- Funders, shareholders, legal, market team
- COMMON BREAK
- An instrument is treated as a fixed label
STAGE 04
Monitor
- QUESTION
- When should fundamentals, markets or terms trigger a switch?
- OUTPUT
- Indicators, triggers and refinancing plan
- PARTICIPANTS
- Finance, treasury, board
- COMMON BREAK
- Capital structure stops being managed after funding
04Post-merger integration
Do not treat a 100-day plan as the answer; design governance, information and capability backwards from value.
STAGE 01
Freeze promises
- QUESTION
- What value did the deal actually promise?
- OUTPUT
- Synergy hypotheses, owners and validation metrics
- PARTICIPANTS
- Deal team, business owner, finance
- COMMON BREAK
- The acquisition logic is reinvented after closing
STAGE 02
Control interface
- QUESTION
- Which information, authority and risk must be visible now?
- OUTPUT
- Governance, authority, reporting and risk interface
- PARTICIPANTS
- Board, finance, legal, control
- COMMON BREAK
- Meetings and policies exist without reliable information
STAGE 03
Execute
- QUESTION
- Who can actually move the business and organisation?
- OUTPUT
- Responsibility map, key roles and phased plan
- PARTICIPANTS
- Business, HR, integration lead
- COMMON BREAK
- The plan is complete but execution capacity is absent
STAGE 04
Review outcomes
- QUESTION
- Was a shortfall caused by judgment, execution or external change?
- OUTPUT
- Attribution, revision and stop conditions
- PARTICIPANTS
- Management, finance, investment, governance
- COMMON BREAK
- Results are read without diagnosing their source